Early in the twentieth century, Lake Konfa became very polluted. Recently fish populations have recovered as release of industrial pollutants has declined and the lake's waters have become cleaner. Fears are now being voiced that the planned construction of an oil pipeline across the lake's bottom might revive pollution and cause the fish population to decline again. However, a technology for preventing leaks is being installed. Therefore, provided this technology is effective, the fears are groundless.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the argument?
The pipeline's construction will disturb sediments at the bottom of the lake, dispersing into the water toxic pollutants that have settled there.
Changes in land use and drainage patterns around the lake mean that the lake's waters are increasingly likely to be affected by agricultural runoff.
The leak-preventing technology has been in use for several years without any pipeline in which it is installed developing serious leaks.
A major leak of oil from the pipeline would harm not only the lake's fish but also populations of other aquatic animals and plants.
Since the beginning of the twentieth century, non-native species of fish have been introduced into the lake and now make up a considerable proportion of its overall fish population.
情景:Konfa曾经被污染的很严重,现在被治理的很好。但是,最近政府打算在Konfa湖的湖底安装一条输油管道。有些人担心安装输油管道可能会导致湖水再次被污染。因此,只要有一个防止漏油的技术有效,那么这些担心就是多余的。
推理:
前提:一个防止漏油的技术可以让油管不漏
结论:不用担心安装输油管道可能会导致湖水再次被污染
答案预估:
那些“湖水不会被再次污染”的其它必要条件(常理上能保真推理出的一切结果)不存在。
选项分析:
A选项:Correct. 输油管的建立可能会扬起陈在湖底的沉淀物,重新扩散污染物。湖水要想不污染,必须断绝一切污染源。本选项给出了除了漏油会污染外,还有别的原因可能导致污染,可以削弱。
B选项:在Lake Konfa周围用土地和排污模式的变化会导致该湖会受到农业更严重的影响。本选项没有提及结论的其它必要条件。
C选项: 输油管的防漏技术从来没带来过严重的漏油事件。本选项没有提及结论的其它必要条件。
D选项:严重的漏油不仅仅会影响湖中的鱼,而且还会影响许多其他的水生动植物。本选项没有提及结论的其它必要条件。
E选项:从20世纪开始,有很多外来的鱼被引入到了湖水中并且占据了不小的比例。本选项没有提及结论的其它必要条件。
P:输油管不会泄露
C:建输油管不会污染 weakens
GAP:不会泄露不=不会污染,泄露只是污染的其中一种情况
A:给出他因/其他样本问题
D:provided this technology is effective---不能反前提
BE:和输油管无关
C:和前提provided this technology is effective 一个意思
推理文段用了一种情况去推广到所有情况,属于“枚举推理”——由小及大
答案中一定要提及样本“防止漏油的新技术”
A选项:输油管的建立可能会扬起陈在湖底的沉淀物,重新扩散污染物。本选项给出了另外一个样本,即,除了漏油会污染外,还有别的原因可能导致污染。✅
感觉方案推理比较适合。枚举应该是样本推出总体吧,但是题目中没有这一层关系啊。。。
P:输油管不会泄露
C:建输油管不会污染
GAP:不会泄露 不等于 不会污染,泄露只是污染的其中一种情况
A:给出他因/其他样本问题
D:provided this technology is effective---不能反前提
BE:和输油管无关
C:和前提provided this technology is effective 一个意思
这题C选项的without+分词属于独立主格吧? 看了好久才看明白
方案:a technology for preventing leaks is being installed.
目的:the fears are groundless.
A CQ3 方案带来副作用
这样对吗?
科技能阻止油泄露从而不会影响鱼群下降和河流环境,所以担忧是没必要的。问最削弱这个观点的是,预设答案,现实科技没有阻止油泄露,或者还有其他方面的原因,总之最后还是导致了再次污染鱼群数量下降。咋看A就能确定是正确的。
为什么这题不是方案的可行性问题呢?
也可以算是吧 我判断 ^_^
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题目解释链接有误,和原来不是一道题。
这题的超链接给错了。https://bichu.com.cn/question?ex=&q=In+an+attempt+to+reduce+the+crime+rate%2C+the+governor+is+getting+&ex=