In the past the country of Siduria has relied heavily on imported oil. Siduria recently implemented a program to convert heating systems from oil to natural gas. Siduria already produces more natural gas each year than it burns, and oil production in Sidurian oil fields is increasing at a steady pace. If these trends in fuel production and usage continue, therefore, Sidurian reliance on foreign sources for fuel should decline soon.
Which of the following is an assumption on which the argument depends?
In Siduria the rate of fuel consumption is rising no more quickly than the rate of fuel production.
Domestic production of natural gas is rising faster than is domestic production of oil in Siduria.
No fuel other than natural gas is expected to be used as a replacement for oil in Siduria.
Buildings cannot be heated by solar energy rather than by oil or natural gas.
All new homes that are being built will have natural-gas-burning heating systems.
目的是要减少对对进口fuel的依赖,特别是首句关注的fuel是oil。
现在的情况是在heating上对fuel的需求已经开始从oil转为gas,且gas供给有余;oil的供给也在稳步上升。
关键就在于,对oil的需求会不会增长过快(比如除heating还有其他需要oil的地方)
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