In the past, most children who went sledding in the winter snow in Verland used wooden sleds with runners and steering bars. Ten years ago, smooth plastic sleds became popular; they go faster than wooden sleds but are harder to steer and slow. The concern that plastic sleds are more dangerous is clearly borne out by the fact that the number of children injured while sledding was much higher last winter than it was ten years ago.
Which of the following, if true in Verland, most seriously undermines the force of the evidence cited?
A few children still use traditional wooden sleds.
Very few children wear any kind of protective gear, such as helmets, while sledding.
Plastic sleds can be used in a much wider variety of snow conditions than wooden sleds can.
Most sledding injuries occur when a sled collides with a tree, a rock, or, another sled.
Because the traditional wooden sled can carry more than one rider, an accident involving a wooden sled can result in several children being injured.
老师,请问这道题是统计推理吗?
前提:过去,人们用木板。10年前,塑料板流行起来了。塑料板比木板快但是比较难掌控。去年滑雪死的儿童比10年前的多。
结论:塑料板更危险。
转换结论,更危险的意思是死亡率更高。而死的人多和比率之间有差,C选项的意思就是玩塑料板的人多。因此可能比率比木板小,但是因为基数大。
我这样想是对的吗?
不是统计
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