During the 1980s, many economic historians studying Latin America focused on the impact of the Great Depression of the 1930s. Most of these historians argued that although the Depression began earlier in Latin America than in the United States, it was less severe in Latin America and did not significantly impede industrial growth there. The historians' argument was grounded in national government records concerning tax revenues and exports and in government-sponsored industrial censuses, from which historians have drawn conclusions about total manufacturing output and profit levels across Latin America. However, economic statistics published by Latin American governments in the early twentieth century are neither reliable nor consistent; this is especially true of manufacturing data, which were gathered from factory owners for taxation purposes and which therefore may well be distorted. Moreover, one cannot assume a direct correlation between the output level and the profit level of a given industry as these variables often move in opposite directions. Finally, national and regional economies are composed of individual firms and industries, and relying on general, sweeping economic indicators may mask substantial variations among these different enterprises. For example, recent analyses of previously unexamined data on textile manufacturing in Brazil and Mexico suggest that the Great Depression had a more severe impact on this Latin American industry than scholars had recognized.
The primary purpose of the passage is to
compare the impact of the Great Depression on Latin America with its impact on the United States
criticize a school of economic historians for failing to analyze the Great Depression in Latin America within a global context
illustrate the risks inherent in comparing different types of economic enterprises to explain economic phenomena
call into question certain scholars' views concerning the severity of the Great Depression in Latin America
demonstrate that the Great Depression had a more severe impact on industry in Latin America than in certain other regions
文章大意:
研究内容:Great Depression(经济大萧条)对拉丁美洲的影响
研究结果:一度认为时间上,LA早于美国;严重程度上,LA小于美国
研究证据:国家政府的记录。
However,国家政府的记录不可靠;假设(direct correlation)也不可靠;国家经济组成很复杂
(总结,经济学家一度认为的一个结论由于证据不可靠,所以这个结论也不可靠)
题目分析:
文章主旨题
选项分析:
A选项:对比GD对拉美和美国的影响:文章一开始提到拉美受的影响应该比美国受的小,但全文并没有围绕这个话题讨论。
B选项:批评某一派的经济学家因为他们没有从全球角度分析拉美的经济萧条:文章提到的经济学家的结论确实有瑕疵,但原因并不是“没有站在全球角度”。
C选项:说明“为了解释经济现象而对比不同的经济企业”这件事的内在风险:文章没有提到。
D选项:正确。质疑某一派的学者的关于“拉美的GD的严重程度”的观点。
E选项:说明GD对拉美的工业比对其他地区有着更严重的影响:文章没有进行这个对比。
表达了作者质疑历史学家低估了经济萧条在拉丁美洲的严重性
定位词:However
历史学家说经济萧条在美国比在拉丁美洲严重,”however“而作者说他们用的数据是不靠谱的,表明作者认为拉丁美洲的经济萧条更严重
观点对比文
学者提出观点一;
作者不同意,反驳一 however;反驳二moreover;反驳三finally;