During the 1980s, many economic historians studying Latin America focused on the impact of the Great Depression of the 1930s. Most of these historians argued that although the Depression began earlier in Latin America than in the United States, it was less severe in Latin America and did not significantly impede industrial growth there. The historians' argument was grounded in national government records concerning tax revenues and exports and in government-sponsored industrial censuses, from which historians have drawn conclusions about total manufacturing output and profit levels across Latin America. However, economic statistics published by Latin American governments in the early twentieth century are neither reliable nor consistent; this is especially true of manufacturing data, which were gathered from factory owners for taxation purposes and which therefore may well be distorted. Moreover, one cannot assume a direct correlation between the output level and the profit level of a given industry as these variables often move in opposite directions. Finally, national and regional economies are composed of individual firms and industries, and relying on general, sweeping economic indicators may mask substantial variations among these different enterprises. For example, recent analyses of previously unexamined data on textile manufacturing in Brazil and Mexico suggest that the Great Depression had a more severe impact on this Latin American industry than scholars had recognized.
Which of the following, if true, would most strengthen the author's assertion regarding economic indicators in the highlighted text?
During an economic depression, European textile manufacturers' profits rise while their industrial output remains steady.
During a national economic recession, United States microchips manufacturers' profits rise sharply while United States steel manufacturers' profits plunge.
During the years following a severe economic depression, textile manufacturers' output levels and profit levels increase in Brazil and Mexico but not in the rest of Latin America.
Although Japanese industry as a whole recovers after an economic recession, it does not regain its previously high levels of production.
While European industrial output increases in the years following an economic depression, total output remains below that of Japan or the United States.
题目分析:
文章推断题:根据高亮的经济指标,以下哪点最能加强作者的结论?
原文:最后,国家和地区的经济是由独立的公司和行业组成的;依赖一般的、广泛的经济指标或许会掩盖不同企业间实质的区别。
选项分析:
A选项:在经济萧条期间,欧洲的纺织制造商的利润增加,而他们行业的产量保持不变:这里没有对比不同企业之间的差别,无法加强结论。
B选项:正确。在经济萧条期间,美国芯片制造商的利润大幅度上升,而美国钢铁制造商的利润下降:表明了同一个国家不同企业间的区别。
C选项:在严重的经济萧条之后的几年,巴西墨西哥的纺织业制造商的产量和利润上升,而拉美的其他地方没有上升:这里讨论的是同行业在不同国家的情况,无法成为加强的例子。
D选项:虽然日本工业在经济萧条后恢复,但它没有到达之前的水平:无关。
E选项:虽然欧洲的工业产量在经济萧条后的几年增长了,但总产量低于美国或者日本的产量:这里没有对比同国家的不同企业,无法加强结论。
没有仔细读highlight 句子:不同产业发展不一样
different enterprises.不同企业之间,选B。
况且A的profit与output也不同
Finally, national and regional economies are composed of individual firms and industries, and relying on general, sweeping economic indicators may mask substantial variations among these different enterprises
substantial variations among these different enterprises.
宏观经济数据可能会掩盖不同企业间的差别
重点: difference enterprise!!!
横向比较
这个A 不行的原因主要是一个是profit 一个是output。 这两个本身就存在着变量;一个公司的profit和output是没有必然联系的
1. 国民和地区经济由个体企业组成,在不同的企业中扩大的经济指标会掩盖变动的变量
下面最能加强作者关于经济指标的断言的是 (strengthen)
A(在经济萧条中,欧洲纺织业的利益增加然而他们的工业产出不变)
B(经济萧条中,美国微晶片制造者的利润快速增加然而美国钢铁制造业利润下降,符合在同一地区不同企业之间的比较)
C(在经济萧条中,在B和M的纺织业的产出水平和利润水平增加,而并没有在其它地方发生,不是进行区域的比较)
D(尽管日本工业在经济萧条后整个恢复,但是没有回到以前的高生产水平,无关)
E(尽管在经济萧条过后欧洲工业产出增加,但是整个水平低于美国和日本,不是要进行国家的比较)
抓重点 理解高亮意思 同一地区不同企业之间的比较 substantial variations among these different enterprises.
关键词:different enterprises
所以要找【行业间】的巨大差异
substantial variations among these different enterprises.
选项B:国家经济萧条时期,Microchip利润急剧上升,钢铁生产利润却飞速下降,巨大的行业间差异;
substantial variations among these different enterprises
B美国的不同行业间利润有巨大差异 ,以一个国家为整体,行业差异
C以一个洲为整体的地域差异
Og解释c
Economic differences between countries do not strengthen the support for the author’s assertion regarding variations among different firms and industries in one country or region.
所以就是一个国家,不同地区,不同行业,不同企业,综合经济指数和个体差异,所以最符合的b
定位:高亮上一句Finally...
整句话限制了individual firms and industries以及different enterprises
A 讨论欧洲,而欧洲只是example里面的一个例子,不是作者的assertion
B 不同行业,一个利润增加,一个利润下降,正确
C 同A,例子内的内容不能成为作者的主要观点,只是佐证
D 讨论的是日本的industry
E 讨论的是整个欧洲的economic
毕老师求助!我本来是看懂觉得B ok了,但是我试图想用类比推理,根据for example 那句找,又感觉C好像也可以的?老师帮帮看看是哪里想偏了。。。O.O
for example 那句基于textile manufacturing in Brazil and Mexico ,看impact on this Latin American industry;这样看好像C的结构上更搭一点。。
看从finally开始的一整句话,它意思是不能rely on national/regional 的经济指标,因为会mask variation in different enterprise.我理解的这个enterprise更像是不同行业的公司的意思 ,所以 比较层次应该是微观的公司 C.中其实是地区间regional的比较,层次不对
我觉得 A、C 是基于第二个反驳点的选项,都是 profit 和 output的相关性有问题。
DE 是无关选项,管她谁比谁呢。反正没看出来是契合 反驳点1、2、3哪个。
B 的就是都是比利润,但是行业不同,有增有降,和高亮那个反驳点说的“ may mask substantial variations among these different enterprises.”一个意思,都是行业企业不同。国家和地区的数据是无法反应的,因为国家和地区数据是 根据不同情况general出来的。
至于文章里面最后的 example,我认为恰恰以这点反驳了之前的那些科学家。你们不是说 没那么严重么,你们看的是总体报告,但是人家拉丁的纺织行业就很严重啊,所以你们不能一概而论 没那么严重呀。
不知道我这么理解是都有问题。
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细节题:sweeping economic indicators may mask substantial variations among these different enterprises.For example:
这句话重点是不同企业之间的差异,这句要是没看懂罢了,再看for example,用类比推理,基于textile manufacturing in Brazil and Mexico ,看impact on this Latin American industry;
A-欧洲某企业和其他行业比较;
B-美国某两个企业之间;(正确,企业间比较)
C-某企业在两个不同的国家之间比较;
D-日本某行业自己的变化
E-欧洲某行业和该行业在日美
论点:经济指标掩盖了真实的情况。选项B说了两个行业的截然不同的状况,也就是说一个指标无法展示两种情况。
高亮部分后面的例子为什么说的是地区和整体的区别啊?这和前面的公司产业不是同一个类别