During the 1980s, many economic historians studying Latin America focused on the impact of the Great Depression of the 1930s. Most of these historians argued that although the Depression began earlier in Latin America than in the United States, it was less severe in Latin America and did not significantly impede industrial growth there. The historians' argument was grounded in national government records concerning tax revenues and exports and in government-sponsored industrial censuses, from which historians have drawn conclusions about total manufacturing output and profit levels across Latin America. However, economic statistics published by Latin American governments in the early twentieth century are neither reliable nor consistent; this is especially true of manufacturing data, which were gathered from factory owners for taxation purposes and which therefore may well be distorted. Moreover, one cannot assume a direct correlation between the output level and the profit level of a given industry as these variables often move in opposite directions. Finally, national and regional economies are composed of individual firms and industries, and relying on general, sweeping economic indicators may mask substantial variations among these different enterprises. For example, recent analyses of previously unexamined data on textile manufacturing in Brazil and Mexico suggest that the Great Depression had a more severe impact on this Latin American industry than scholars had recognized.


Which of the following, if true, would most strengthen the author's assertion regarding economic indicators in the highlighted text?


During an economic depression, European textile manufacturers' profits rise while their industrial output remains steady.

During a national economic recession, United States microchips manufacturers' profits rise sharply while United States steel manufacturers' profits plunge.

During the years following a severe economic depression, textile manufacturers' output levels and profit levels increase in Brazil and Mexico but not in the rest of Latin America.

Although Japanese industry as a whole recovers after an economic recession, it does not regain its previously high levels of production.

While European industrial output increases in the years following an economic depression, total output remains below that of Japan or the United States.

考题讲解

题目分析:

文章推断题:根据高亮的经济指标,以下哪点最能加强作者的结论?

原文:最后,国家和地区的经济是由独立的公司和行业组成的;依赖一般的、广泛的经济指标或许会掩盖不同企业间实质的区别。


选项分析:

A选项:在经济萧条期间,欧洲的纺织制造商的利润增加,而他们行业的产量保持不变:这里没有对比不同企业之间的差别,无法加强结论。

B选项:正确。在经济萧条期间,美国芯片制造商的利润大幅度上升,而美国钢铁制造商的利润下降:表明了同一个国家不同企业间的区别。

C选项:在严重的经济萧条之后的几年,巴西墨西哥的纺织业制造商的产量和利润上升,而拉美的其他地方没有上升:这里讨论的是同行业在不同国家的情况,无法成为加强的例子。

D选项:
虽然日本工业在经济萧条后恢复,但它没有到达之前的水平:无关。

E选项:
虽然欧洲的工业产量在经济萧条后的几年增长了,但总产量低于美国或者日本的产量:这里没有对比同国家的不同企业,无法加强结论。

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