Which of the following most logically completes the passage?
According to the last pre-election poll in Whippleton, most voters believe that the three problems government needs to address, in order of importance, are pollution, crime, and unemployment. Yet in the election, candidates from parties perceived as strongly against pollution were defeated, while those elected were all from parties with a history of opposing legislation designed to reduce pollution. These results should not be taken to indicate that the poll was inaccurate, however, since __________.
some voters in Whippleton do not believe that pollution needs to be reduced
every candidate who was defeated had a strong antipollution record
there were no issues other than crime, unemployment, and pollution on which the candidates had significant differences of opinion
all the candidates who were elected were perceived as being stronger against both crime and unemployment than the candidates who were defeated
many of the people who voted in the election refused to participate in the poll
情景:大部分的投票者认为政府需要解决三件事—污染,犯罪,和失业。但是在选举中,被看作是反对污染的候选者被击败,但不反对污染的候选者被选上了。
推理:本题直接问是为什么这两件事不能被认为是选举不准确。因此,我们直接在选项中去找这样的解释即可,无需在判断推理方式。
选题方式:略。
选项分析:
A选项:有些投票者不认为污染需要被减少。有些人不认为,不代表这些人都会投给反对污染法的人,也不代表这些人的数量是足够造成投票差异。
B选项:每一个被击败的候选者都拥有很强的反污染记录。本选项和投票与实际差异无关。
C选项:没有除了犯罪,失业,和污染外其它的让候选者们有明显不同意见的事件了。本选项反而增强了调查不准这一论调。因为没有别的事件干扰,所以出现这种误差,一定是由于调查有了不准的情况。
D选项:Correct. 所有被选上的候选者都是在犯罪和失业方面更强的。显然地,由于不仅仅有污染这一条规则,所以若成功的候选者都在另外两条方面更强,那么他们自然会更容易被选上,这并非是调查的失误。
E选项:很多投票的人拒绝参加调查。本选择增强了调查不准这一判断,因为很多人不被调查,所以被调查对象的代表性是堪忧的。
如果选了E选项反而说明the poll was inaccurate了,不符合题意
E选项具有很强的迷惑性,它的意思是说“很多在民意调查中投票的人并没有参加到选举中”。这样就无法知道民意调查是不是准确的了(因为选举的结果并不是民意调查那批人做出的),但也没有为“调查不是不准确的”辩护。
看错了题目,要解释的是为啥poll is accurate~
注意体会这个inaccurate指的就是pre-election是否能够完全的预测election的结果。
一定要看清是对预选举的结果的准确性的讨论,而不是对选举的准确性的讨论
选项E具有一定的迷惑性,题目是问选举的结果不应该暗示调查的不准确性的原因。
错选E,把结论看错
结论是民意测试并不是不精准的原因,而不是这两个现象差异的原因
E说调查样本不具备代表性反而会使民意测试不精准。
B重复了原文
E选项:很多投票的人拒绝参加调查。本选择增强了调查不准这一判断
C选项:没有除了犯罪,失业,和污染外其它的让候选者们有明显不同意见的事件了。本选项反而增强了调查不准这一论调。因为没有别的事件干扰,所以出现这种误差,一定是由于调查有了不准的情况。
D选项:Correct. 所有被选上的候选者都是在犯罪和失业方面更强的。显然地,由于不仅仅有污染这一条规则,所以若成功的候选者都在另外两条方面更强,那么他们自然会更容易被选上,这并非是调查的失误。
啊……问的是不能说poll inaccurate,E最后相当于说poll不准确
错选C选项:反而增强了