Is it possible to decrease inflation without causing a recession and its concomitant increase in unemployment? The orthodox answer is "No." Whether they support the ''inertia" theory of inflation (that today's inflation rate is caused by yesterday's inflation, the state of the economic cycle, and external influences such as import prices) or the ''rational expectations" theory (that inflation is caused by workers' and employers' expectations, coupled with a lack of credible monetary and fiscal policies), most economists agree that tight monetary and fiscal policies, which cause recessions, are necessary to decelerate inflation. They point out that in the 1980's, many European countries and the United States conquered high (by these countries' standards) inflation, but only by applying tight monetary and fiscal policies that sharply increased unemployment. Nevertheless, some governments' policymakers insist that direct controls on wages and prices, without tight monetary and fiscal policies, can succeed in decreasing inflation. Unfortunately, because this approach fails to deal with the underlying causes of inflation, wage and price controls eventually collapse, the hitherto-repressed inflation resurfaces, and in the meantime, though the policymakers succeed in avoiding a recession, a frozen structure of relative prices imposes distortions that do damage to the economy's prospects for long-term growth.


The passage suggests that the high inflation in the United States and many European countries in the 1980's differed from inflation elsewhere in which of the following ways?


It fit the rational expectations theory of inflation but not the inertia theory of inflation.

It was possible to control without causing a recession

It was easier to control in those countries by applying tight monetary and fiscal policies than it would have been elsewhere.

It was not caused by workers' and employers' expectations.

It would not necessarily be considered high elsewhere.

考题讲解

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A 是正确选项。文章提到,大多数经济学家支持惯性通货膨胀理论和理性预期理论,即当前的通货膨胀率是由昨天的通货膨胀率以及经济周期状态和外部因素(如进口价格)引起的,并且劳动者和雇主的预期与缺乏可信的货币和财政政策有关。因此,美国和欧洲多个国家在1980年代高通货膨胀率,但它们采取了严格的货币和财政政策,这是其他地方没有的。

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Prep2008E1-RC