To reduce the danger to life and property posed by major earthquakes, scientists have been investigating several techniques for giving advance warning of dangerous earthquakes. Since catfish swim erratically before earthquakes, some investigators have proposed monitoring catfish to predict dangerous earthquakes.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the usefulness of the proposal?
In Japan, which is subject to frequent earthquakes, the behavior of catfish has long been associated with earthquakes.
Mechanical methods for detecting earthquakes have not proved effective.
Tremors lead to the release of hydrogen sulfide gas into water, thereby causing various fish and shellfish to behave erratically.
Careful construction can reduce the dangers posed by earthquakes.
Even very slight, fleeting tremors cause catfish to swim erratically.
我的错因:
1)这道题的“catfish to swim erratically”与"earthquake"本身就是correlation而不是"causal relation"。C选项确实undermine了——并非是“catfish to swim erratically”导致的earthquake,但是并不能否定correlation,反而是在揭示correlation的原理。
2)审题上,题干强调的是major/dangerous earthquake, 而E选项是slight tremors。
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