Which of the following most logically completes the argument below?
Twenty percent of the stores in Morganville's downtown shopping district will fail within five years because they will be competing directly with the SaveMart discount department store newly opened in East Morganville. The downtown shopping district has lost business at this rate before and has always completely rebounded. Confidence that it will rebound again from the losses it is now about to suffer is ill founded, however, because __________.
the stores likely to be put out of business by direct competition from SaveMart are the downtown shopping district's anchor stores, on whose ability to draw shoppers many of the other downtown stores depend
the bus line that has long connected the downtown area of Morganville with East Morganville has a tradition of carrying shoppers who reside in East Morganville into downtown Morganville to shop
when the downtown shopping district has rebounded before, the business premises of a failed business were typically taken over by a business of the same kind as had been there before
SaveMart's business plan for the East Morganville store is based on earning low profits, if any, during the first five years of the store's existence
it is conceivable that the downtown shopping district could shrink substantially without collapsing altogether
情景:由于直接和SaveMart竞争,有20%的商场要倒闭了。从前,若是有20%的商场倒闭,则总是会很快回弹。但是,这次应该不会回弹了。
答案预估:
直接解释为何“这次应该不会回弹”即可。
选项分析:
A选项: Correct. 由于直接和SaveMart竞争而被淘汰掉的商场是端位商场(大型商业单位,如百货商场或超级市场,座落在商业街的突出位置,通常是一端。端位商场需起吸引顾客的作用,使他们能够光顾商业街的其它商店)。现在淘汰的都是端位商场,从前不都是端位商场。因此,可以解释为什么这一次应该不会回弹了。
B选项:连接Morganville东部和市中心的公共汽车会把东部的人载到市中心来购物。
C选项:过去回弹的时候,替代倒闭的商场的都是和以前商场商业模式一样的商场。
D选项:SaveMart的在生存期的前五年的商业模式是薄利型。
E选项:可以预见的是市中心的商场将会缩小而不是一起倒闭。
background: 20%的Morganville's 的百货商店即将在Savemart的竞争中倒闭
在过去,倒闭了20%的商店还能rebound。但是这一次还能rebound的信心是站不住脚的。because
choice a, 将要倒闭的商店都是anchor stores,其他商店吸引顾客的能力都依赖于这些商店。correct,这一次商店倒闭产生的实际影响高于单纯的20%商店倒闭,指出了类比的两者(过去&现在)不同之处
choice c, 过去回弹的时候,替代倒闭的商场的都是和以前商场商业模式一样的商场。irrelevant, 描述的是过去rebound的特征
choice e, 可以想象的是downtown business会大幅度缩小,但不会一起坍塌。irrelevant,描述的是这一次20%商店倒闭的具体特征,没有讨论为什么不能rebound
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