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题库 / Prep2008E2-CR-77
Which of the following most logically completes the argument below?
Twenty percent of the stores in Morganville's downtown shopping district will fail within five years because they will be competing directly with the SaveMart discount department store newly opened in East Morganville. The downtown shopping district has lost business at this rate before and has always completely rebounded. Confidence that it will rebound again from the losses it is now about to suffer is ill founded, however, because __________.
the stores likely to be put out of business by direct competition from SaveMart are the downtown shopping district's anchor stores, on whose ability to draw shoppers many of the other downtown stores depend
the bus line that has long connected the downtown area of Morganville with East Morganville has a tradition of carrying shoppers who reside in East Morganville into downtown Morganville to shop
when the downtown shopping district has rebounded before, the business premises of a failed business were typically taken over by a business of the same kind as had been there before
SaveMart's business plan for the East Morganville store is based on earning low profits, if any, during the first five years of the store's existence
it is conceivable that the downtown shopping district could shrink substantially without collapsing altogether
情景：由于直接和SaveMart竞争，有20%的商场要倒闭了。从前，若是有20%的商场倒闭，则总是会很快回弹。但是，这次应该不会回弹了。
答案预估：
直接解释为何“这次应该不会回弹”即可。
选项分析：
A选项： Correct. 由于直接和SaveMart竞争而被淘汰掉的商场是端位商场（大型商业单位，如百货商场或超级市场，座落在商业街的突出位置，通常是一端。端位商场需起吸引顾客的作用，使他们能够光顾商业街的其它商店）。现在淘汰的都是端位商场，从前不都是端位商场。因此，可以解释为什么这一次应该不会回弹了。
B选项：连接Morganville东部和市中心的公共汽车会把东部的人载到市中心来购物。
C选项：过去回弹的时候，替代倒闭的商场的都是和以前商场商业模式一样的商场。
D选项：SaveMart的在生存期的前五年的商业模式是薄利型。
E选项：可以预见的是市中心的商场将会缩小而不是一起倒闭。
之前20%的店铺倒闭都会恢复，这次因为打折店S的竞争倒闭的店也会恢复。
CR：现在和之前不一样，可能是倒闭原因（这次是因为S）不一样，也可能是其他条件不一样。
A，这次没客流的店是核心店，别的店要靠它来获客。-->核心店万达倒了，其他店只好喝西北风了。
C，之前倒闭的店会被同类型的店取代。 -->这次的店没有同类型的店来取代它。但开不了传统店没说开不了打折店，通常不是只有一家打折店，有了S还可以有其他。
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