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题库 / Prep2008E2-CR-77
Which of the following most logically completes the argument below?
Twenty percent of the stores in Morganville's downtown shopping district will fail within five years because they will be competing directly with the SaveMart discount department store newly opened in East Morganville. The downtown shopping district has lost business at this rate before and has always completely rebounded. Confidence that it will rebound again from the losses it is now about to suffer is ill founded, however, because __________.
the stores likely to be put out of business by direct competition from SaveMart are the downtown shopping district's anchor stores, on whose ability to draw shoppers many of the other downtown stores depend
the bus line that has long connected the downtown area of Morganville with East Morganville has a tradition of carrying shoppers who reside in East Morganville into downtown Morganville to shop
when the downtown shopping district has rebounded before, the business premises of a failed business were typically taken over by a business of the same kind as had been there before
SaveMart's business plan for the East Morganville store is based on earning low profits, if any, during the first five years of the store's existence
it is conceivable that the downtown shopping district could shrink substantially without collapsing altogether
情景：由于直接和SaveMart竞争，有20%的商场要倒闭了。从前，若是有20%的商场倒闭，则总是会很快回弹。但是，这次应该不会回弹了。
答案预估：
直接解释为何“这次应该不会回弹”即可。
选项分析：
A选项： Correct. 由于直接和SaveMart竞争而被淘汰掉的商场是端位商场（大型商业单位，如百货商场或超级市场，座落在商业街的突出位置，通常是一端。端位商场需起吸引顾客的作用，使他们能够光顾商业街的其它商店）。现在淘汰的都是端位商场，从前不都是端位商场。因此，可以解释为什么这一次应该不会回弹了。
B选项：连接Morganville东部和市中心的公共汽车会把东部的人载到市中心来购物。
C选项：过去回弹的时候，替代倒闭的商场的都是和以前商场商业模式一样的商场。
D选项：SaveMart的在生存期的前五年的商业模式是薄利型。
E选项：可以预见的是市中心的商场将会缩小而不是一起倒闭。
many of the other downtown stores depend on anchor stores' ability to draw shoppers.
再说说关于C选的一点想法。倒推一下，如果C是对的，过去的补位商场和倒闭商场是同一种商业模式，说明啥呢？说明商业模式不是导致商场倒闭的原因，也就是说，不应该是折扣店抢了非折扣店的生意，应该是非折扣店自己玩脱了。而我们要证明的是，就是因为折扣店抢了商业街的生意从而导致商业街无法翻身了。
玩脱了哈哈哈
anchor stores身后的定语明确说其他downtown store要靠anchor store来吸引顾客，现在跟SM竞争，连anchor store都倒闭了，那还有啥希望rebound啊
说的很棒 就是考试的时候 可能没时间想这么细
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我觉得这道题没必要纠结于过去东山再起的是不是Anchor store，是与不是其实对当下的情况都没有太强说服力，毕竟这五年内其他因素也都可能会变。主要还是要看A最直接的意思：被折扣店击垮的店是Anchor Store，而Anchor Store要是垮了，顾客就不来了，整条街的其他店也都没生意了，这条街复苏的希望渺茫。
同意，重点就在主力店了
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楼下的观点老师怎么看？ 按照您教的这题只提了现在的，没有提以前的，肯定不能选啊？
没说以前不是端位商场啊？
C最主要的问题是，题目中没有告诉我们以前的商业模式是什么，因此我们不能排除以前也是discount department store的商业模式
a选项里也没有说以前淘汰的不是anchor stores呀，这道题不是很懂
属于从过去推测未来的unjustified assumption，我觉得是统计枚举类型-----------CQ：样本代表性或者样本数量问题，这里面的样本指的是将要倒闭downtown M商店的样本，所以答案应该是说明：downtown M商店样本和过去rebound商店相比的不同：
A 恰巧说了这种不同。