Surveys in Domorica indicate that only 10 percent of Domoricans in their twenties read a newspaper regularly, while more than half of all Domoricans over thirty read a newspaper regularly. Although Domoricans in their twenties constitute a large proportion of the population, newspaper publishers nonetheless predict that ten years from now, the percentage of Domoricans who regularly read a newspaper will probably be no lower than it is today.
Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest grounds for the newspaper publishers' prediction?
The number of Domoricans in their twenties is less than the number of Domoricans over thirty.
The number of newspapers in Domorica has been gradually increasing over the past several decades.
The proportion of Domoricans in their twenties who regularly read a newspaper has always been low.
The surveys defined a regular reader of a newspaper as someone who reads a newspaper more than twice a week.
The proportion of Domoricans who regularly read a newspaper was higher 20 years ago than it is today.
读题仔细啊!be no lower than it is today. 比今天高
arg: 20多岁的人里只10%经常读报纸,而30岁以上的人里一半经常读报纸,20岁的人口比例更大
con: 10年后 读报纸的人不会比今天少 ---就是会比今天多--- 那推测一下 就是20岁的人以后变成30岁了会较多地看报纸了
ABDE排除法全不对
勉强算类比
C 摆出事实,说明20岁读得少是一个普遍现象,那就说明arg的代表性是很强的
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