The Maxilux car company's design for its new luxury model, the Max 100, included a special design for the tires that was intended to complement the model's image. The winning bid for supplying these tires was submitted by Rubco. Analysts concluded that the bid would only just cover Rubco's costs on the tires, but Rubco executives claim that winning the bid will actually make a profit for the company.
Which of the following, if true, most strongly justifies the claim made by Rubco's executives?
In any Maxilux model, the spare tire is exactly the same make and model as the tires that are mounted on the wheels.
Rubco holds exclusive contracts to supply Maxilux with the tires for a number of other models made by Maxilux.
The production facilities for the Max 100 and those for the tires to be supplied by Rubco are located very near each other.
When people who have purchased a carefully designed luxury automobile need to replace a worn part of it, they almost invariably replace it with a part of exactly the same make and type.
When Maxilux awarded the tire contract to Rubco, the only criterion on which Rubco's bid was clearly ahead of its competitors' bids was price.
情景:Maxilux汽车公司的新车型M100的设计中包含了一款针对其轮胎的特殊设计。通过招标,Ruboo公司成为了这种轮胎的供应商。分析人士认为中标的价格仅仅只够Ruboo公司生产轮胎的成本,但Ruboo公司的高管认为生产这种轮胎可以带来利润。
推理:本题是一个“现象解释型考题”。按照正常逻辑来说,即,结论应该为:Ruboo公司生产这种轮胎不能带来利润。由于结论句和前提句说的是两件事,并且结论为果,所以本题为因果推理。
顺序的因果逻辑:因为中标的价格仅仅只够Ruboo公司生产轮胎的成本,所以Ruboo公司生产这种轮胎不能带来利润
(因)前提:中标的价格仅仅只够Ruboo公司生产轮胎的成本
(果)结论:Ruboo公司生产这种轮胎不能带来利润
选题方式:因果推理只有一个评估方向,简而言之,即,反驳推理文段中的结论。
选项分析:
A选项:在Maxilux公司的所有车型中,备胎和原装轮胎都是完全一致的。本选项和利润无关,不能反驳结论。
B选项:Rubco公司持有了很多给Maxilux公司其它车型提供轮胎的独家订单。本题的结论说的是“Ruboo公司生产这种轮胎不能带来利润”,所以Rubco是否持有别的订单和结论句无关。
C选项:M100的生产设备与轮胎的生产设备离得很近。本选项和利润无关,不能反驳结论。
D选项: Correct. 当人们需要替换轮胎时,只能去替换完全一样的质地和型号的轮胎。如果大家在更换轮胎时必须到原厂家去更换,则会给公司带来商机与利润。
E选项:Rubco公司的标书比其他公司的标书唯一的优点在于价格。本选项和利润无关,不能反驳结论。
果因推理。毕老师不是已经在说是“现象解释”,怎么还是因果呢?
现象解释就是因果推理的题型啊。“中标价格只够生产成本”在前,因此为前提;“生产这种轮胎不能带来利润”在后,因此为结论。
现象解释不是一种推理方式,只是一种问法,一般我们都是A推B, 这种是A, however, not B,之后问我们如何解释结论中not B这个情况,这就等于A推B,问削弱。这种问法可以出现在任何一种推理方式中
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B选项,更进一步,是否是,有别的订单,【并不一定会产生利润】,所以与结论无关
我觉得还是应该要解释为啥.这种.轮胎能产出利润!要在一个逻辑链上,其他的订单不再因果连上,只有人们需要买同样的设计的轮胎才.可能.增加收入。
那个其他的订单其实也可以增加收入,但是不再题目的逻辑链上。
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