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题库 / Prep2007E1-CR-25
Twelve years ago and again five years ago, there were extended periods when the Darfir Republic's currency, the pundra, was weak: its value was unusually low relative to the world's most stable currencies. Both times a weak pundra made Darfir's manufactured products a bargain on world markets, and Darfir's exports were up substantially. Now some politicians are saying that, in order to cause another similarly sized increase in exports, the government should allow the pundra to become weak again.
Which of the following, if true, provides the government with the strongest grounds to doubt that the politicians' recommendation, if followed, will achieve its aim?
Several of the politicians now recommending that the pundra be allowed to become weak made that same recommendation before each of the last two periods of currency weakness.
After several decades of operating well below peak capacity, Darfir's manufacturing sector is now operating at near-peak levels.
The economy of a country experiencing a rise in exports will become healthier only if the country's currency is strong or the rise in exports is significant.
Those countries whose manufactured products compete with Darfir's on the world market all currently have stable currencies.
A sharp improvement in the efficiency of Darfir's manufacturing plants would make Darfir's products a bargain on world markets even without any weakening of the pundra relative to other currencies.
B 在多年在峰值下运行，DR的制造业现在已经接近峰值；生产不可能在增长，没有更多东西用于出口
C: The unjustifid feasibility of the plan make it impossible to realize the aim.
E: out of scope , alternative plan cannot justify whether the plan discussed in the argument can make its goal come true.
- (e) irrelevant: the question asks us to undermine the politician's suggestion, not to suggest an alternative. (analogy: if you think that eating only big macs will help you lose weight, i can't convince you otherwise by suggesting alternate diets)
the phrase near-peak.
this means that the manufacturing sector can't increase output by very much at all (this is what 'peak output' means).
if the manufacturing sector can't meaningfully increase output, then it won't be able to produce a big increase in exports, because there won't be any extra stuff to export.
这道题是类比推理吗